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United to drop points at Turf Moor

dycheThis football betting tip comes from the Premier League game between Burnley and Manchester United. Ok so betting against a team unbeaten in 21 league games isn’t No.1 on the list on “How to become a professional gambler”, but it does look the correct play here.

United must be shattered. Even if they get to sleep 12 hours a night on their blissful 600 thread count Egyptian cotton sheets, playing 7 games already in April must have tired them out.

There were signs of that on Thursday in the Europa League. Extra time certainly won’t have helped the cause and Rashford would have been awake well past his bedtime. Rojo and Ibrahimovic both picked up cruciate ligament injuries which is always horrible to see. United will certainly miss their star man and Mourinho has selection problems now in the heart of the defence.

Burnley have the 6th best home record in the Premier League. Better than both Man City & Man United (unfortunately not one of my pre season tips). They’ve won 10 of their 16 home games at Turf Moor this season and all down the tactical genius of Sean Dyche who’s favourite saying on the training field is “Just another 10k lads”. Doesn’t mean shit I know but United actually rank 20th in the Premier League for distance run, amazing what you can do when you have possession.

It didn’t help them in the reverse fixture though as Burnley lined up all 11 players on the goal line for 90 minutes to forge out a 0-0 draw at The Thearte of Dreams. 25 of their 27% possession came courtesy of taking their time on throw ins (not an OPTA stat that one).

So with Burnley strong at home and United cream crackered, I’m recommended backing Burnley in the double chance market. The win looks value too but United are draw specialists so it pays to have that on our side. We get better odds if we play the Asian Handicap markets.

888sport are offering the best odds. They have an offer for the FA CUP semi final for new customers so worth claiming that if you don’t have an account and then getting the best odds on Burnley picking up a point or better here.

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